Prisco’s NFL Super Wild Card weekend picks: Cowboys finally beat Tom Brady; The Giants get their revenge on the Vikings

Week 18 is always tough when it comes to picking NFL games. There’s so much uncertainty about who’s playing and who’s not. So I can use that as an excuse for my best bets debacle last week on the “NPL Pick Six” podcast.

I went 1-4, my worst week of the season. Enough to end the regular season. It dropped my record to 55-44-5, which is still solid, but the last two weeks have killed me in my race to beat RJ White. Will Brinson, the podcast host, was long out of the running.

As for my expert picks, I went 9-7 ATS and 10-6 straight. That brings my record to 129-133-9 ATS and 169-101-1 straight. That means it will take the playoffs to get me past .500 ATS, which is what I intend to do.

Let’s review the weekend games with joker. That’s right, 6-0. Let’s go.

Saturday, 4:30 p.m. ET (fox)

Featured game | San Francisco 49ers vs. Seattle Seahawks

The 49ers beat the Seahawks twice during the regular season, once with rookie Brock Purdy starting. He hasn’t lost a start yet, but things change in the playoffs. The intensity rises. I think Kyle Shanahan will find a way to make it easier for Purdy, even in the playoffs. The 49ers defense will be all over Geno Smith. It’s gonna get ugly.

Take: 49ers 28, Seahawks 17

Saturday, 8:15 p.m. ET (NBC)

Featured game | Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Los Angeles Chargers

This is a game featuring two of the best young quarterbacks in the league. Justin Herbert and Trevor Lawrence will both play their first playoff game, but I don’t think it will matter. The Jaguars outshot the Chargers in blowing them up in Week 3, but it will be much closer. Both passing games should have big days, so it should be a shootout. Expect the Jaguars to make another big play to win it as Lawrence wins the first of his fights with Herbert.

Take: Jaguars 34, Chargers 31

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS, Paramount+)

Featured game | Buffalo Bills vs. Miami Dolphins

Does Tua Tagovailoa play? If not, who does it? The quarterback situation is evolving for Miami, but I don’t think it matters who plays. The Dolphins played well losing to the Bills late in the season, but that won’t be the case here. Josh Allen and the offense will light up the Dolphins’ defense, while the Bills will limit Miami’s big plays. Bills will move on.

Take: Bills 34, Dolphins 21

Sunday, 4:30 p.m. ET (fox)

Featured game | Minnesota Vikings vs. New York Giants

These two played on Christmas Eve and the Vikings needed a 61-yard field goal from Greg Joseph to win it. The Giants gained 448 yards of offense that day and probably should have won the game. But they didn’t. Now it’s a road playoff game, which will be a challenge. Even so, I think Brian Daboll will benefit from a poor Minnesota defense. This one should be a high score, as Kirk Cousins ​​and Justin Jefferson will make a few plays, but it will be the Giants who win it with a late field goal this time to advance.

Take: Giants 30, Vikings 28

Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC)

Featured game | Cincinnati Bengals vs. Baltimore Ravens

The big issue here is whether Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson can play. I guess he plays here. He’ll certainly be rusty after missing five weeks, but he’s better than the alternative that he doesn’t play. The Bengals have won eight straight, not including the tie, and they look just as good as the team that went to the Super Bowl last year. They beat the Ravens last week, but that doesn’t matter. What will matter is that Joe Burrow has a great day. The Bengals will move on.

Take: Bengals 26, Ravens 19

Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET (ABC/ESPN)

Featured game | Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Dallas Cowboys

The Cowboys looked awful losing their Finals to the Commanders, but really what were they playing for with the Giants resting the players against the Eagles? Nothing. So erase this game, even if Dak Prescott looked bad. The Bucs entered the playoffs with a losing record, and they’re in trouble. It’s easy to sit here and say that Tom Brady will turn it on in the playoffs. But I don’t see it. Not against this Cowboys front. Prescott will play better for the Dallas offense to get them through to the next round.

Take: Cowboys 27, Bucks 21

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